@article {BF-3262,
	title = {Predicting fire behaviour in dry eucalypt forest in southern Australia},
	journal = {Forest Ecology and Management},
	volume = {280},
	year = {2012},
	month = {9/2012},
	pages = {120 - 131},
	abstract = {This paper describes the development of two empirical models to predict the potential spread of an established line of fire in dry eucalypt forest with a shrubby understorey. These models use inputs of fine fuel moisture, wind speed, near-surface fuel height, and either a numerical fuel hazard score or a descriptive fuel rating for the surface and near-surface fuel. A model to predict flame height from rate of spread and elevated fuel height is also presented as a guide to suppression difficulty.

Models were developed using data from a series of simultaneous experimental fires in fuels of different fuel ages ranging from 2 to 22 years since last fire. They were tested against data from independent experimental fires and well documented wildfires that were assigned reliability ratings for fuel, weather and spread rate. Models performed reliably when the reliability of wildfire data ratings for fuel and weather were also high.

Models predict the potential rate of spread and are likely to over-predict the spread of fires starting from a point ignition during the early stages of development when the headfire is less than 120 m wide. Existing guides should be used for prescribed burning operations based on point ignition, and the models described here can be used to predict rate of spread from line ignition.

Predictions from the new models will be more reliable when rate of spread is averaged over an interval of 30 min or longer. The reliability will be low when compared to observations made over short time intervals, at specific points in the topography, or when very large fires interact to produce wind speeds that are very different to the ambient wind in the open.},
	issn = {03781127},
	doi = {10.1016/j.foreco.2012.06.012},
	author = {Cheney, NP and J.S. Gould and Lachlan W. McCaw and Wendy R. Anderson}
}
@article {BF-1002,
	title = {Existing fire behaviour models under-predict the rate of spread of summer fires in open jarrah (Eucalyptus marginata) forest.},
	journal = {Australian Forestry },
	volume = {71},
	number = {1},
	year = {2008},
	month = {3/22/2008},
	pages = {16-26},
	url = {http://www.forestry.org.au/pdf/pdf-members/afj/AFJ\%202008\%20v71/1/04McCaw.pdf},
	author = {Lachlan W. McCaw and J.S. Gould and Cheney, NP}
}
@article {BF-1009,
	title = {Field Guide- Fuel assessment and fire behaviour prediction in dry euclaypt forest},
	volume = {82},
	year = {2007},
	month = {11/01/2007},
	institution = {Ensis- CSIRO \& Department of Enivironment and Conservation, WA},
	author = {J.S. Gould and Lachlan W. McCaw and Cheney, NP and Ellis, Peter and Stuart Matthews}
}
@book {BF-1001,
	title = {Fire Behaviour in Dry Eucalypt Forest Fuels},
	year = {2007},
	month = {11/01/2007},
	publisher = {Ensis- CSIRO \& Department of Enivironment and Conservation, WA},
	organization = {Ensis- CSIRO \& Department of Enivironment and Conservation, WA},
	author = {Lachlan W. McCaw and Cheney, NP and J.S. Gould}
}
@article {BF-2364,
	title = {A physics-based approach to modelling grassland fires},
	journal = {International Journal of Wildland Fire},
	volume = {16},
	year = {2007},
	month = {2007},
	pages = {1},
	abstract = {Physics-based coupled fire{\textendash}atmosphere models are based on approximations to the governing equations of fluid dynamics, combustion, and the thermal degradation of solid fuel. They require significantly more computational resources than the most commonly used fire spread models, which are semi-empirical or empirical. However, there are a number of fire behaviour problems, of increasing relevance, that are outside the scope of empirical and semi-empirical models. Examples are wildland{\textendash}urban interface fires, assessing how well fuel treatments work to reduce the intensity of wildland fires, and investigating the mechanisms and conditions underlying blow-up fires and fire spread through heterogeneous fuels. These problems are not amenable to repeatable full-scale field studies. Suitably validated coupled atmosphere{\textendash}fire models are one way to address these problems. This paper describes the development of a three-dimensional, fully transient, physics-based computer simulation approach for modelling fire spread through surface fuels. Grassland fires were simulated and compared to findings from Australian experiments. Predictions of the head fire spread rate for a range of ambient wind speeds and ignition line-fire lengths compared favourably to experiments. In addition, two specific experimental cases were simulated in order to evaluate how well the model predicts the development of the entire fire perimeter.},
	doi = {10.1071/WF06002},
	author = {William Mell and Jenkins, Mary Ann and J.S. Gould and Cheney, NP}
}
@article {BF-1010,
	title = {Project Vesta- Fire in dry eucalypt Forest: Fuel structure, fuel dynamics and fire behaviour},
	volume = {218},
	year = {2007},
	month = {11/01/2007},
	institution = {Ensis- CSIRO \& Department of Enivironment and Conservation, WA},
	url = {http://www.publish.csiro.au/nid/22/pid/5993.htm},
	author = {J.S. Gould and Lachlan W. McCaw and Cheney, NP and Ellis, Peter and Knight, IK and Sullivan, Andrew}
}
