A large smoke plume from the 2014 Grampians bushfire. Photo: Wayne Rigg, CFA

Bushfire Predictive Services

Future fire modelling research needs to bridge the gap between fire danger prediction systems based on the science of the 1950’s and 60’s to one that exploits current research, technology and conditions.

This cluster of projects is addressing this gap, through enhancing our ability to:

  • monitor the landscape, such as remotely sensing the amount of fuel in the, the nature of that fuel, and its flammability;
  • understand how fire propagates through the landscape and the condition in which that propagation can become extreme; and
  • undertake (near) real time fire-spread modelling.

The cluster works closely with the Severe and high impact weather and Prescribed burning clusters. Together, these clusters are contributing to:

  • the science underpinning a new national fire danger rating system and the national capability to support bushfire predictive services;
  • the ability to deliver better warnings to the community prior to and during bushfires;
  • the ability to predict fire behaviour and hence inform decisions on deployment of firerefighting resources, while at the same time trying to ensure the safety of firefighters;
  • the ability to mitigate the threat of bushfires through more effective prescribed burning.

The ability to understand, predict, forecast and monitor bushfire is fundamental to improving resilience through better planning, preparedness, risk management and response. 

The AFAC Bushfire Presdictive Services Group acts as an end-user panel for this cluster of projects, ensuring that the research outcomes are effectively transitioned into operations and training.

Severe and High Impact Weather - cluster overview

Browse Projects

CRC funded projects’ details research conducted by the core, CRC funded, program.

Projects in ‘commissioned research’ detail research the Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC has, or is, conducting directly for a partner organisation, outside of the core, CRC funded, program. These projects are included on this page as their topic relates to this cluster, and the findings may be of interest.  

AFAC17 logo

AFAC17 logo

All the resources from our 2017 conference

National research priorities for natural hazards

National research priorities for natural hazards

National priorities for research

The Sir Ivan fire. Photo: Nick Moir, Fairfax Media

The Sir Ivan fire. Photo: Nick Moir, Fairfax Media

Research findings from 2017 NSW fires

Four years of highlights

Bushfire planning with kids ebook

Research clusters